PropZone Daily Edge — Oct 24
Play:
Matthew Knies 2+ SOG (–200) | Kent Johnson 2+ SOG (–109) | Jeff Skinner 2+ SOG (–165)
Combined Odds: +364 (FanDuel 10 % Boost)
Model Summary
All three project above their thresholds:
Knies: 3.3 shots / 60 | Opponent allows 3.6
Johnson: 3.2 shots / 60 | Opponent allows 3.8
Skinner: 3.7 shots / 60 | Opponent allows 4.1
Aggregate hit probability ≈ 58 % vs market implied 27 %.
Edge: +31 % expected value.
Rationale
All three on top-six lines with PP1 usage → steady shot volume.
Opponents rank bottom half in shots allowed per game.
Boost elevates EV into +360 range — viable multi-leg exposure with uncorrelated matchups.
Model Projection
Simulated Hit Rate: 57.8 %
Expected Return: +0.34 u
Confidence Tier: B (Moderate edge, boost-dependent)
Record to Date
✅ 1 – 1 (+0.96 u)
Closing Line
Consistent edges compound.
Full record → www.propzonebets.com